Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.037971 0.040993 0.044165 0.047747 0.051686 0.055892 0.060731
2025-04-27 0.033510 0.037840 0.042638 0.048369 0.055057 0.062647 0.071960
2025-05-04 0.030048 0.035075 0.040872 0.048099 0.056926 0.067435 0.081009
2025-05-11 0.027529 0.032996 0.039511 0.047917 0.058580 0.071794 0.089629
2025-05-18 0.025483 0.031229 0.038264 0.047613 0.059865 0.075588 0.097648
2025-05-25 0.023879 0.029836 0.037307 0.047500 0.061251 0.079468 0.105953
2025-06-01 0.022273 0.028299 0.036016 0.046786 0.061695 0.082011 0.112508
2025-06-08 0.020794 0.026815 0.034668 0.045854 0.061704 0.083862 0.118118
2025-06-15 0.019659 0.025706 0.033732 0.045390 0.062276 0.086476 0.124977
2025-06-22 0.018660 0.024716 0.032885 0.044966 0.062834 0.089047 0.131912
2025-06-29 0.017614 0.023598 0.031786 0.044094 0.062643 0.090440 0.137049
2025-07-06 0.017097 0.023188 0.031651 0.044600 0.064516 0.095065 0.147733
2025-07-13 0.016446 0.022560 0.031179 0.044582 0.065600 0.098559 0.156912
2025-07-20 0.016009 0.022216 0.031096 0.045140 0.067604 0.103653 0.169285
2025-07-27 0.015383 0.021562 0.030516 0.044888 0.068282 0.106597 0.178118
2025-08-03 0.014825 0.020982 0.030014 0.044719 0.069068 0.109751 0.187589
2025-08-10 0.014280 0.020394 0.029466 0.044440 0.069636 0.112549 0.196626
2025-08-17 0.013814 0.019904 0.029046 0.044335 0.070480 0.115865 0.206941
2025-08-24 0.013248 0.019237 0.028316 0.043679 0.070323 0.117363 0.213795
2025-08-31 0.012671 0.018530 0.027492 0.042821 0.069755 0.118058 0.219071
2025-09-07 0.012225 0.018009 0.026942 0.042393 0.069917 0.120101 0.227299
2025-09-14 0.011813 0.017527 0.026431 0.042003 0.070115 0.122213 0.235854
2025-09-21 0.011338 0.016925 0.025703 0.041200 0.069507 0.122721 0.240971